Businesses in Guernsey are being asked to take part in the States’ first
Annual Business Survey later this month. The Policy Council is launching the
survey in an attempt to improve the breadth and depth of economic data available
to policymakers.
Businesses will be asked for details on turnover, the cost of sales, assets
owned, financial liabilities, workforce, training and pensions. Precise data
on export earnings is requested and information on the levels of investment
in local businesses will give an idea of the sensitivity of sectors to changing
economic conditions.
The form, which goes out on February 22 and should be returned by Easter,
also asks for growth estimates for 2010 and for a view on factors expected to
have an effect on growth next year.
States Economist, Andy Sloan said that a good response to the survey would
help the States with future economic planning, as certain key baseline data
is currently not available to the government. “Possession of comprehensive,
up-to-date and accurate economic statistics is vital for the construction of
economic models which inform policy analysis,” he explained.
“This is important for various reasons but particularly to assess future
economic performance, fiscal revenues for the States and thus better assess
the impacts on the economy of any changes to tax structures.”
“At this present moment, the range of statistics collated by the States
of Guernsey prohibits certain analysis due to a lack of historic information
on key macroeconomic variables particularly investment, fixed capital and exports.”
“We hope that the Annual Business Survey, therefore, will provide statistically
robust data for modelling purposes by plugging the gaps of these key variables.
The result hopefully is better-informed analysis and policy.”
Sloan added: “While responses are not mandatory, the better the response
rate, the better quality of data achieved and the more informed our analysis
is.”
All information will be kept confidential – results will be published
in aggregate on an island-wide and sector-wide basis – and the survey
has been deliberately kept short and concise. He asked businesses to be prepared
to complete what they could. Half-completed forms were preferable to no returns,
he said.
Deputy Lyndon Trott, Chief Minister, stated:
“This is not about trying to predict the future. This is about historical
data and trends which will significantly improve the quality of the data that
the States holds and will inform our fiscal and economic policy-making. I strongly
urge companies to help us ensure that the policy process is as informed as it
can be and to complete this survey.”
Deputy Carla McNulty Bauer, Commerce and Employment Minister added::
“The lack of historic trade and investment data across all business
sectors is not unusual for a small jurisdiction such as ourselves, but the only
way we can collect this broad range of information is via surveys. I believe
that this survey is not too time-consuming to complete, as we’ve deliberately
tried to keep the questions down to a minimum.”
“I sincerely hope that individual businesses and businessmen and women
will see the benefit of contributing to this survey. The information is of great
importance to help government have a greater factual understanding of the local
economy, and, in turn, ensuring that States decision-making is as informed and
evidence-based as possible.”